Attention NFL fans: I recently finished reading a book about the league’s most notorious cheating scandal called “Spygate The Untold Story.” I was asked by the author, Bryan O’Leary, to be interviewed for the book, as America’s foremost authority on sports gaming and pointspread analysis. Wait until you read what I have to say about this New England Patriots’ cheating scandal. Let’s just say that this very cynical New Yorker was shocked like I’ve never been shocked before. My jaw was wide open reading about this scandal of all scandals.
This is bigger than the famous “Black Sox Scandal” of baseball. Yet it’s all been swept under the rug by the NFL and the national media (that obviously does anything the NFL asks of them in return for a big piece of the NFL profit pie). I have to say, if you are a fan of the NFL you will absolutely love this book. Turns out the Spygate scandal was far worse than the NFL and its owners would like fans to believe.
Spoiler alert: Did you know Tom Brady had a second radio frequency going into his helmet so he could hear from his coaches after the 15 second cutoff? Well that’s what this book appears to prove. Even for a cynical New Yorker (and now Las Vegas native) like me, who thought I had seen and heard everything, I was blown away by the information in this “couldn’t put it down” book. “Spygate” covers the incident itself, including little known facts that were quickly swept under the rug by the NFL commissioner’s office.
Like the fact that Tom Brady left tens of millions of dollars on the table, to accept contracts well below what the top QB in the NFL should command, just to stay in New England. Why? Loyalty? What sports agent would allow his client to throw away tens of millions of dollars? Wouldn’t the top QB in the NFL be offended by lowball offers from the team that he took to the Super Bowl five times in his ten years? Yet Brady accepted the lowball offers without a fight. Strange. Brady and his agent accepted downright lousy deals to stay in New England. Why? Did Brady perhaps feel that the only reason a 6th round draft pick became a Hall of Fame QB was because of this cheating scandal? Did Brady become the best QB in the NFL simply because in New England, he always knew what play the opposing defense was calling before the snap?
Author O’Leary examines the history of the scandal’s three most important characters, including one that few NFL experts (even the experts in Boston) even knew existed. Testimony of coaches, players, and ex-employees completes the picture. The anecdotal evidence is extremely compelling. For instance- why do Bill Belichick’s unheralded assistant coaches all become the best offensive and defensive coordinators in the NFL while in New England, only to all fail miserably time and again when they get hired away by other NFL teams? Could it be because of this cheating scandal? Is it because at New England, they always knew what play was being called by the opposing team before the snap?
The book concludes with exhaustive and detailed statistical analysis studies conducted by a PhD of Statistical Science that shows performance levels achieved by New England that should have been impossible to achieve (without cheating). The Patriots’ home-winning percentage and against-the-spread performance under Belichick is proven literally impossible. It is in this chapter of the book where I (Wayne Root) am interviewed as an authority on sports gaming. The statistics literally blew my mind.
Overall a great read and brilliantly put together. Author Bryan O’Leary really did his homework. If you are an NFL junkie like me, this is a must read. You’ll never see Coach Bill Belichick, Tom Brady, or the 3-time Super Bowl champion New England Patriots the same way again.
I promise you, you won’t be able to put this book down.
Happy Reading & Profitable Wagering,
Wayne Allyn Root
“The King of Vegas Sports Gaming“
Spygate: The Untold Story
By Tim Gleason ON AUG 7, for Behind the Steel Curtain
A new book has hit the market. It’s called Spygate: The Untold Story. Do yourself a favor and buy it. I was contacted by the author prior to the writing of this book. Frankly, I had my doubts that any “outsider” could write a good book about Spygate, but Bryan O’Leary did just that. He really did his homework with research and was careful to footnote all his facts. You will enjoy O’Leary’s sarcastic wit and “wordsmanship.” This book is an easy read, about 46,000 words, that is both easy to follow and clear to understand.
As the title implies, the book is about Bill Belichick, the New England Patriots and the videotaping scandal (or curious non-scandal) that was uncovered in September, 2007. Among the many fascinating touchpoints of this informative and thought-provoking manuscript:
- If Bill Belichick innocently “misinterpreted” the video policy (after all teams received a written warning less than a year earlier), why did the “innocent” videographers (including Matt Walsh) lie to sideline security about what they were doing?
- Wasn’t it strange that the NFL decided to minimize the escapade before talking to Walsh, the star witness? Why is Walsh under a gag order now? Why was the evidence destroyed quickly, an act that defies all logic of investigative process?
- Who is Ernie Adams and why is he the most powerful football mind that no one has ever heard of? Belichick brought Adams to Cleveland in 1991 and after a few years, Browns owner Art Modell offered $10,000 to anyone who could tell him what Adams did! Players still to this day chuckle at the shroud of secrecy that surrounds that man.
- Belichick claimed that he didn’t use the taped signals during the games in question, his “misunderstanding” loophole. Why then did he tape games of teams he wouldn’t see again that year, including our 2004 AFC Championship Game, which Senator Arlen Spector stated on the Senate floor that Steelers players thought the Patriots knew everything that Pittsburgh was going to do?
- Why does Belichick continue to hire cardboard cutouts for coordinators – young people with no experience or older failures – or hire no coordinators at all? Is it interesting that one such young failure, Josh McDaniels, was caught video cheating soon after he moved to Denver?
In addition to the above intriguing discussion points, O’Leary’s book goes into some very interesting statistical phenomena which defies explanation. Why does New England always win at home? Yes, they’re good, but five seasons with perfect 8-0 records? A 31-game home winning streak? An unbelievable record of beating the point spread? The book gives some eye-popping data that will make you think, or perhaps re-think.
You may not agree with everything O’Leary concludes (surely Patriots fans will have an answer for everything), but if you put all the pieces together, like O’Leary does, what can be concluded? The book reminds me of an old saying: If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, sounds like a duck and acts like a duck, guess what – It’s a damn duck!
NEW YORK POST
(Edited down for length)
- By BART HUBBUCH
- Last Updated: 1:26 PM, October 21, 2012
- Posted: 11:25 PM, October 20, 2012
The NFL might have long since moved on from the 2007 Spygate scandal, but at least one extremely determined fan has not — and he’s claiming Bill Belichick and the Patriots haven’t, either.
Bryan O’Leary has spent what the Dallas-based financial strategist estimates is $30,000 (and counting) to self-publish the book “Spygate: The Untold Story,” which alleges the Patriots’ videotaping was much more vital to their three Super Bowl victories than the NFL let on, and that getting exposed by the Jets hasn’t kept Belichick from continuing to engage in misconduct to this day.
The Patriots did not acknowledge a request for comment about the book by The Post. An NFL spokesman declined comment.
Citing no sources but using data he says was crunched by both a Ph.D. in statistics from China and a famed Vegas bookmaker, O’Leary insists that breaking the rules is the only way to explain New England’s incredible success at home since 2002, and especially in the six seasons since the taping scheme was uncovered.
Nevertheless, there has been no further official action by the league since the Spygate incident.
O’Leary, who grew up in Pittsburgh as a Steelers fan, claims a logical reading of those numbers means the Jets can expect to be yet another victim of skullduggery in today’s AFC East showdown at Gillette Stadium.
“You just cannot explain away all these statistical anomalies,” O’Leary said in a telephone interview this week. “The only thing that makes sense is that the Patriots are still cheating, and it’s especially obvious to anyone with a brain who looks at the numbers that they’re still cheating at home.”
Citing a 2007 ESPN report that the Patriots were accused of using a second radio frequency at home, O’Leary theorizes New England assistant Ernie Adams — one of the more mysterious figures in the league — still communicates with Tom Brady via that alternate frequency after Brady’s helmet microphone goes dead per NFL rules 15 seconds before the snap.
O’Leary also suggests the Patriots still could be using cameras to film opponents’ defensive signals at Gillette Stadium by hiding them in obscure places.
What isn’t in dispute is Belichick and the Patriots — despite a Week 2 loss to the Cardinals this season — remain practically untouchable at Gillette Stadium long after Spygate was uncovered.
Including playoff games, the Patriots are 34-7 (.829) at home since Spygate was uncovered after the 2007 season opener and 77-16 (.828) since 2002, numbers that are such huge statistical outliers in the NFL’s salary-cap era of parity that O’Leary says they can’t be attributed just to Belichick’s coaching skills and Brady’s quarterbacking.
The next-best team on that list is the Ravens, who are 66-21 (.759) at home — more than a season’s worth of home games behind New England and simply too good to be true to O’Leary and his SMU-based statistician, Dr. Miao Zang.
Even fishier to O’Leary and Zang is the Patriots posting five unbeaten regular seasons of 8-0 at home from 2001-11 and winning 31 consecutive home games in one stretch with Brady at quarterback.
Zang describes the five unbeaten home records as “an extreme statistical anomaly” compared with the rest of the NFL, where almost half of the league has failed to do that even once since true free agency arrived 20 years ago.
“The average NFL team since 2002 wins just 4.5 of its home games, yet the Patriots win seven out of eight every year for 11 years — three standard deviations from the rest of the league,” said O’Leary, noting in particular that New England went 8-0 at home in 2009 but just 2-6 on the road.
Even more suspicious, O’Leary writes, is the Patriots’ uncanny success in covering the point spread both home and away the past 11 years. New England is 109-69-6 against the spread since 2001, producing a net of 40 winning bets that Zang writes is once again nearly three standard statistical deviations from the rest of the league — “an extremely rare case.”
“The statistical evidence seems to show they’re still using a non-football advantage,” O’Leary said. “I’m not saying they’re cheating, but this isn’t a win-all-your-home-games league.”
O’Leary’s book claims the league and commissioner Roger Goodell also were complicit because Goodell intentionally minimized the cheating by refusing to suspend Belichick, destroying the tapes and having former New England aide Matt Walsh — who was part of much of the filming — sign a confidentiality agreement.
Belichick claimed he did not know the tapings were against the rules. Goodell disagreed, and took the unprecedented steps of docking the Patriots a first-round pick and fining the team $250,000, and Belichick a record $500,000. But O’Leary says the league covered up the full extent because it feared the fallout from fan, coach and player lawsuits as well as the potentially enormous damage that three officially tainted Super Bowls could do to the league’s bottom line.
“The NFL isn’t a $9 billion-a-year entity and teams aren’t worth more than a billion dollars each if people know its games were fraudulent,” O’Leary said. “Why else would the owners all go along in making this go away?”